All too often in politics, you run across something that you just know without having anyone verify it for you, but which can turn out to be very hard to prove. That’s the case with at least one aspect of the current debate between the GOP and the Democrats when it comes to DACA and getting a “fix” in place for the Dreamers. Sure, they’ll tell you that it’s for humanitarian reasons, this is the only country some of them have ever known and it wasn’t their fault that their parents brought them here. All valid arguments to a point, though it still disregards the entire rule of law question, not to mention the distaste that many conservatives have for amnesty in any form to begin with. But underlying all of the arguments coming from liberals on this is another significant bonus they would receive if a general amnesty and path to citizenship were offered to nearly one million dreamers: that would most likely mean nearly one million new votes for the Democrats.
As I said, fairly obvious when you stop to think about it, but they’re unlikely to admit it. Except for the fact that a memo from a prominent liberal group, penned by a former Clinton campaign staffer, was leaked out and obtained by the Daily Caller News Foundation. And the contents of the memo appear to confirm what everyone was thinking all along. (Daily Caller, emphasis added)
The Center For American Progress (CAP) Action Fund circulated a memo on Monday calling illegal immigrants brought here at a young age — so-called “Dreamers” — a “critical component of the Democratic Party’s future electoral success.”
The memo, co-authored by former Clinton communications director Jennifer Palmieri, was sent around to allies calling on Democrats to “refuse to offer any votes for Republican spending bills that do not offer a fix for Dreamers and instead appropriate funds to deport them.” …
“The fight to protect Dreamers is not only a moral imperative, it is also a critical component of the Democratic Party’s future electoral success,” reads Palmieri’s memo, obtained by The Daily Caller News Foundation.
“If Democrats don’t try to do everything in their power to defend Dreamers, that will jeopardize Democrats’ electoral chances in 2018 and beyond,” reads the memo. “In short, the next few weeks will tell us a lot about the Democratic Party and its long-term electoral prospects.”
Sadly, Palmieri’s choice of words doesn’t make it as blatantly obvious as it might, but the message is still quite clear. I suppose that any of her supporters might say that their “future electoral success” and avoiding jeopardizing their “electoral chances” are simply ways of saying that failing to support the dreamers would dishearten their base. But if we’re going to be honest here, that’s pretty much nonsense. Their base knows exactly where they stand on this and also realize that the Democrats are in the minority in Washington. So long as they put up a stiff fight and at least try to get some sort of relief, their voters won’t be abandoning them in droves for the GOP. The reality is they would dearly love to register all of those newly official dreamers with a D behind their names and get them out to the polls every year as an expression of “gratitude for all the Democrats had done for them.”
This ties in with the need for Trump and the GOP to make a smart deal on this DACA issue if a deal has to be made at all. Trust me, I’m not looking for any sort of amnesty, but this is a political reality of the season which may have to be dealt with. A general amnesty for all illegal aliens is obviously a non-starter, but if there has to be some sort of compromise, it might as well be with a politically popular group which is at least limited in numbers.
But if it’s going to happen, there need to be compromises made by the Democrats as well. Since we’re on the crass subject of vote counting strategy, the amnesty should not include any preferential or accelerated path to citizenship. Something more along the lines of a long-term visa, green card situation could work. And yes, the Democrats need to pony up money for at least the first stretch of the wall along with other border security enhancements. Changes to chain migration policy and the lottery system should be on the table as well, but since you’re unlikely to get everything you want, we just take as much of that as can be negotiated.
If we can’t get a deal like that out of them, the GOP simply needs to walk away, stick to their principles and take their chances in the next election. If the Democrats aren’t willing to at least meet us halfway on this, there’s no compelling reason for the Republicans to do anything at all.