Stock-index futures traded near unchanged Thursday as investors awaited weekly data on jobless claims, a day after equities suffered another round of steep losses that put the S&P 500 on the brink of a correction.
What are major benchmarks doing?
Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average YM00, -0.21% were up 4 points or less than 0.1%, at 26,689, while S&P 500 futures ES00, -0.31% fell 1.45 points, or less than 0.1%, at 3,229.75. Nasdaq-100 futures NQ00, -0.61% were off 34.25 points, or 0.3%, at 10,794.75.
On Wednesday, the Dow DJIA, -1.92% ended with a loss of 525.05 points, or 1.9%, at 26,763.13, while the S&P 500 SPX, -2.37% shed 78.65 points, or 2.4%, to close at 3,236.92. The Nasdaq Composite COMP, -3.01% finished at 10,632.99, down 330.65 points, or 3%. The close left the S&P 500 down 9.6% from its record close of 3,580.84 hit on Sept. 2 — a correction is defined as a 10% pullback from a recent peak.
What’s driving the market?
Analysts said gridlock on Capitol Hill, which has sapped prospects for another spending bill, has weighed on markets. Remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in congressional testimony this week, as well as comments by other Fed policy makers, have signaled that the central bank is taking a wait-and-see approach when it comes to further monetary stimulus, while signaling the need for Congress to act on fiscal stimulus.
”Given the highly polarized state of politics in the U.S. at the moment, the markets do not expect action on any stimulus package with Congress barely able to agree on a continuing resolution in order to keep the government going,” said Boris Schlossberg, managing director of FX strategy at BK Asset Management, in a note.
“That in turn has weighed on sentiment as current improvement in economic data has been modest at best suggesting that the V-shaped recovery is running out of steam after the initial burst of activity after the reopening of the U.S. economy,” he said.
Fears of a contested presidential election on Nov. 3 were also seen weighing on sentiment, analysts said. President Donald Trump on Wednesday refused to commit to a peaceful transition of power following the election, telling reporters “we’ll have to see what happens…I’ve been complaining very strongly about the ballots. And the ballots are a disaster.” Trump was referring to mail-in ballots, which he has asserted, without evidence, are prone to widespread fraud.
Trump also suggested the Supreme Court will have to make a ruling on the outcome of the election, emphasizing that a new justice, replacing Ruth Bader Ginsburg, should be confirmed before Election Day.
“Donald Trump’s continuing reluctance to confirm he would accept a loss in the presidential elections in little more than a month carries the threat of taking the country into unprecedented and potentially dangerous territory, though this may be little more than rhetoric and Trump could triumph anyway” said Russ Mould, investment director at U.K.-based brokerage AJ Bell.
“The bitter campaign for the White House is also preventing the U.S. from agreeing a fiscal stimulus package — leading to growing grumbles from the U.S. Federal Reserve and it was little surprise to see U.S. stocks fall against this backdrop,” he said.
On the economic front, investors will be keying in on the latest weekly tally of jobless claims at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch expect the number of first-time claims to fall to 850,000 from 860,000 the previous week. Data on new home sales is due at 10 a.m.
Powell will testify before lawmakers for a third straight day at 10 a.m. A number of other Fed officials will also be on the speaking circuit again on Thursday.
Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan is slated to deliver a speech at Texas Christian University at 8:50 a.m., while Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks at a pair of events at 1 p.m. and 2 p.m. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard is set to deliver a speech to the Global Interdependence Center at noon, while Chicago Fed President Charles Evans is scheduled to deliver a speech to the Illinois Chamber of Commerce at 1 p.m. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is slated to deliver a speech on systemic racism to a forum on minorities in banking at 2 p.m.
Which companies are in focus?
- Shares of Penn National Gaming Inc. PENN, -7.21% fell more than 5% in premarket action after announcing it would launch a public offering of 14 million shares.
- Accenture PLC ACN, -2.64% shares dropped 4% in premarket trade after the professional services and consulting company reported revenue and earnings that fell short of expectations.